Whether you insist on a real brick-and-mortar casino or you’ve already discovered the convenience of playing slots and table games at Red Flush Canadian casino; whether you like to play from your desktop or on the move using a smartphone, you need to beware of the gambler’s fallacy.
It’s a perennial problem that many casino players run into, and it can put the kiss of death on what ought to be a pleasant evening’s entertainment, surfing highs and lows as your luck ebbs and flows, with the occasional thrill of a handsome win.
Simply put, the gambler’s fallacy represents the triumph of human self-delusion: an emotion-driven conviction that there must be some kind of ‘fairness’, ‘justice’ or ‘balance’ in the universe. It’s a refusal to acknowledge that games of chance run on the uncaring, unswayable laws of mathematical probability, which allow for no justice; just odds.
How to Avoid the Trap
The easiest way to avoid falling into the gambler’s fallacy is to learn a bit about the laws of probability and how they are calculated.
Take a coin. Whenever it is tossed, there is a 50 percent chance it comes down heads and a 50 percent chance of tails.
But that 50/50 chance comes into play every time the coin is tossed; toss the coin 10 times, and it wouldn’t be surprising to get five heads and five tails. But there would also be sequences with seven heads and three tails, which are just as likely because each toss still presents the coin with an even chance of coming down either side up.
But the gambler’s fallacy kicks in when people think a 7-3 result means the next toss is ‘more likely’ to yield a tails, because they’re ‘owed’ one by the laws of probability.
No! The probability of the coin coming down one way or the other remains exactly 50/50 on every toss, even if the past 1,000 tosses yielded an unbroken string of tails.
Applying This to Roulette
Now let’s apply that knowledge to real situations in a casino. Take a roulette wheel, for example. In European roulette, the green 0 has a one-in-37 chance of winning on each spin. But apart from that single green slot, the ball has a very close to 50/50 chance of landing in Red or Black on every spin.
Ten Black wins in a row do NOT imply that the wheel now ‘owes you’ a Red. The same with a run of twenty odd numbers or a hundred low numbers: the chances of one or the other coming up remains just under 50 per cent on every spin.
The gambler’s fallacy mixed with double-up betting systems that stick to even-money bets is the fastest way to blow your stake at the roulette table. Rather find a betting system you can master that mixes up several bets with higher-value returns on each spin, covering more of the table and expanding your chances of winning each time.
If you’re keen to see how you can do in online roulette then you should try online gambling at Red Flush Canadian casino.
Our impressive selection of roulette games includes European Roulette Gold, a fabulous, enhanced game that’s great for players of all skill levels. Give it a try now and see what we mean!
Poker and Blackjack
The gambler’s fallacy can be just as damaging to card players. There are set odds on being dealt a blackjack or a royal flush, and they stay the same as long as a full deck of cards is used, no matter how many good or bad hands have gone before them.
Learn to play card games at Red Flush Canadian casino sensibly, according to the odds, rather than betting too big every time you feel the deck ‘owes you one’. Don’t you owe that to yourself?